· Analysis updated 10:40 UTC
Olympique Sport d'Abobo vs Stade d'Abidjan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Olympique Sport d'Abobo and 1.13 for Stade d'Abidjan, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Stade d'Abidjan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
71.1% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Stade d'Abidjan away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stade d'Abidjan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 29% / 30% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Olympique Sport d'Abobo and 1.13 for Stade d'Abidjan, a combined 2.03 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.8%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–013.2%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–28.4%
Recent form
Olympique Sport d'Abobo
Stade d'Abidjan
- 2026-10-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs US Tchologo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zoman · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs SOL · 6-5 (W)
- 2026-10-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs ES Agboville · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Mouna · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Agboville | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Stade d'Abidjan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Yamoussoukro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | SOA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | SOL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Zoman | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Mouna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | San-Pédro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Stella | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | ISCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | US Tchologo | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Adiake | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Bouaké | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Korhogo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | AFAD | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | ASEC Mimosas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 71.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.