· Analysis updated 07:12 UTC
Oman Club vs Al Nasr Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.74 expected goals for Oman Club and 1.10 for Al Nasr, a combined total of 1.84. That distribution gives Al Nasr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
75.3% probability
Expected goals
0.74 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oman Club home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Al Nasr away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al Nasr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 25% / 32% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.74 goals for Oman Club and 1.10 for Al Nasr, a combined 1.84 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
68%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–117.4%
- 0–015.9%
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–29.5%
Recent form
Oman Club
- 2026-08-25T13:50:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fanja · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rustaq · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Saham · 0-1 (L)
Al Nasr
- 2026-10-01T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Smail · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T13:20:00.000Z · A vs Fanja · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-21T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Bahla · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:40:00.000Z · H vs Al Musannah · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T16:10:00.000Z · A vs Dhofar · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Professional League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 75.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.