Oman · FA Cup · Group stage — 114:00
Oman ClubDWLW

1 – 1

Tuesday, 18 August 2026

FanjaDDLWL

· Analysis updated 11:40 UTC

Oman Club vs Fanja Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Oman Club and 0.98 for Fanja, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Oman Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Oman Club win

57.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.82 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oman Club home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Fanja away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oman Club to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 23% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.82 goals for Oman Club and 0.98 for Fanja, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oman Club win57%
Draw23%
Fanja win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–011.1%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.1%

Recent form

Oman Club

  • 2026-08-25T13:50:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fanja · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rustaq · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Saham · 0-1 (L)

Fanja

  • 2026-10-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ibri · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-01T14:25:00.000Z · A vs Bahla · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T13:20:00.000Z · H vs Al Nasr · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T13:40:00.000Z · A vs Dhofar · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahla43101210
2Al Seeb4310610
3Al-Nahda523039
4Al-Shabab422028
5Oman Club421127
6Dhofar521207
7Sur4211-27
8Sohar420206
9Fanja5122-45
10Al Musannah4022-32
11Saham5023-32
12Smail4022-42
13Al Nasr4022-42
14Ibri4022-52

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Oman Club win, at 57.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.