· Analysis updated 09:11 UTC
Oman Club vs Smail Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for Oman Club and 0.84 for Smail, a combined total of 2.12. That distribution gives Oman Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oman Club win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oman Club home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oman Club to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 29% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.27 goals for Oman Club and 0.84 for Smail, a combined 2.12 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 36% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–09.8%
Recent form
Oman Club
- 2026-08-25T13:50:00.000Z · A vs Smail · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fanja · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-23T15:25:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rustaq · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-18T15:20:00.000Z · H vs Sur · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-13T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Saham · 0-1 (L)
Smail
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Professional League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oman Club win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.