World · AFC U17 Asian Cup · Group stage — 313:00

13:00 UTC

Saturday, 14 November 2026

· Analysis updated 10:39 UTC

Oman U17 vs Brunei U17 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Oman U17 and 0.84 for Brunei U17, a combined total of 5.34. That distribution gives Oman U17 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 92%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 92% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Oman U17 win

92.3% probability

High confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 0.84

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oman U17 home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brunei U17 away threat

    Scored in 0 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oman U17 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 92%, against 92% / 5% / 3% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.50 goals for Oman U17 and 0.84 for Brunei U17, a combined 5.34 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oman U17 win92%
Draw5%
Brunei U17 win3%

Double chance 1X

97%

Double chance 12

95%

Double chance X2

8%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals74%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 4–08.2%
  • 5–07.4%
  • 3–07.3%
  • 4–16.9%
  • 5–16.2%

Recent form

Oman U17

  • 2025-11-30T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Afghanistan U17 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2025-11-28T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Myanmar U17 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2025-11-26T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Nepal U17 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2025-11-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Syria U17 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2025-04-11T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Korea DPR U17 · 2-2 (D)

Brunei U17

  • 2025-11-30T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bahrain U17 · 0-10 (L)
  • 2025-11-28T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Timor-Leste U17 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2025-11-26T11:35:00.000Z · A vs China PR U17 · 0-12 (L)
  • 2025-11-24T06:00:00.000Z · A vs Bangladesh U17 · 0-8 (L)
  • 2025-11-22T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Sri Lanka U17 · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Oman U17 win, at 92.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 92% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.