· Analysis updated 04:28 UTC
Omega Sport vs Oxigen Bucuresti Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Omega Sport and 1.03 for Oxigen Bucuresti, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Omega Sport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Omega Sport win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Omega Sport home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Oxigen Bucuresti away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Omega Sport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 27% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Omega Sport and 1.03 for Oxigen Bucuresti, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–08.8%
Recent form
Omega Sport
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Voluntari II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FCSB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 1-0 (W)
Oxigen Bucuresti
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LPS HD Clinceni · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Voluntari II · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · Omega Sport 2-1 Oxigen Bucuresti (Liga III - Serie 5)
Liga III - Serie 5 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Alexandria | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | LPS HD Clinceni | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 | Cetatea | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Voluntari II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | FCSB II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 12 | Progresul Spartac | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Omega Sport win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.