Omonia 29is Maiou vs Anorthosis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Omonia 29is Maiou and 1.23 for Anorthosis, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Omonia 29is Maiou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Omonia 29is Maiou win

58.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Omonia 29is Maiou home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Anorthosis away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Omonia 29is Maiou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Omonia 29is Maiou and 1.23 for Anorthosis, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Omonia 29is Maiou win59%

Draw20%

Anorthosis win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

2–19.7%
1–19.0%
2–07.9%
1–07.4%
3–16.9%

Recent form

Omonia 29is Maiou

2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AEK Larnaca · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karmiotissa · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Krasava Ypsonas · 3-0 (W)
2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MEAP Nisou · 3-3 (D)

Anorthosis

2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Nea Salamis · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Apoel Nicosia · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Apollon Limassol · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs AEL · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Apoel Nicosia · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2025-03-14T17:00:00.000Z · Omonia 29is Maiou 2-4 Anorthosis (1. Division)
2025-03-08T17:00:00.000Z · Omonia 29is Maiou 0-0 Anorthosis (1. Division)
2024-12-07T17:00:00.000Z · Omonia 29is Maiou 0-2 Anorthosis (1. Division)
2024-01-16T17:00:00.000Z · Omonia 29is Maiou 0-2 Anorthosis (Cup)

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AEL	6	5	0	1	2	15
2	AEK Larnaca	6	4	1	1	6	13
3	Omonia Nicosia	6	3	3	0	9	12
4	Apollon Limassol	6	3	3	0	6	12
5	Pafos	6	3	2	1	4	11
6	Aris	6	2	3	1	-1	9
7	Apoel Nicosia	6	2	2	2	4	8
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	6	2	2	2	2	8
9	Anorthosis	7	2	0	5	-7	6
10	Olympiakos	7	0	6	1	-1	6
11	Omonia Aradippou	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Nea Salamis	6	1	1	4	-4	4
13	Krasava Ypsonas	7	1	1	5	-9	4
14	Karmiotissa	6	0	3	3	-7	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Omonia 29is Maiou win, at 58.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.