Omonia 29is Maiou vs MEAP Nisou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Omonia 29is Maiou and 1.33 for MEAP Nisou, a combined total of 3.51. That distribution gives Omonia 29is Maiou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Omonia 29is Maiou win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Omonia 29is Maiou home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
MEAP Nisou away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Omonia 29is Maiou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Omonia 29is Maiou and 1.33 for MEAP Nisou, a combined 3.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Omonia 29is Maiou win57%

Draw20%

MEAP Nisou win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

2–19.4%
1–18.6%
2–07.1%
3–16.9%
1–06.5%

Recent form

Omonia 29is Maiou

2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AEK Larnaca · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karmiotissa · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Krasava Ypsonas · 3-0 (W)
2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MEAP Nisou · 3-3 (D)

MEAP Nisou

2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartakos Kitiou · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Digenis Morphou · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Omonia 29is Maiou · 3-3 (D)
2026-04-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs ASIL Lysi · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Doxa · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ethnikos Achna	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	Enosis	2	1	1	0	3	4
3	ASIL Lysi	2	1	1	0	2	4
4	Iraklis Yerolakkou	2	1	1	0	2	4
5	Doxa	2	1	1	0	1	4
6	APEA	2	1	1	0	1	4
7	PAEEK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Polemidion	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Spartakos Kitiou	2	1	0	1	2	3
10	Ermis	2	1	0	1	1	3
11	Digenis Morphou	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	MEAP Nisou	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Ayia Napa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Akritas	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Halkanoras	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Anagennisi Deryneia	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Omonia 29is Maiou win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.