World · UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round17:00

10

Thursday, 13 August 2026

GSP Stadium · Referee S. Gishamer · Analysis updated 23:49 UTC

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Omonia Nicosia and 1.00 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Omonia Nicosia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws roughly 65% of the time.

Model pick

Omonia Nicosia or Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Omonia Nicosia win35%
Draw31%
Lincoln Red Imps FC win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 0–013.5%
  • 0–113.5%
  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–26.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Omonia Nicosia home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lincoln Red Imps FC away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Omonia Nicosia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 31% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Omonia Nicosia and 1.00 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Omonia Nicosia

  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kairat Almaty · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kairat Almaty · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Panetolikos · 2-1 (W)

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Omonia Nicosia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Omonia Nicosia · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mjallby AIF · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjallby AIF · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.