Onhaye vs Sporting Bruxelles Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Onhaye and 1.33 for Sporting Bruxelles, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Onhaye the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Onhaye win

53.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Onhaye home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sporting Bruxelles away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Onhaye to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for Onhaye and 1.33 for Sporting Bruxelles, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Onhaye win54%

Draw22%

Sporting Bruxelles win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–19.5%
1–19.4%
2–07.2%
1–07.1%
3–16.4%

Recent form

Onhaye

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liège II · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Charleroi II · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Meux · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Albert Quévy-Mons · 2-5 (L)
2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rochefort · 2-1 (W)

Sporting Bruxelles

2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tournai · 6-2 (W)
2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Entité Manageoise · 3-2 (W)
2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Acren-Lessines · 0-3 (L)
2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 0-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jette	9	5	4	0	9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	6	1	2	7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	5	2	2	9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	5	2	2	7	17
5	Braine	9	5	2	2	5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	4	3	2	3	15
7	Huy	9	4	2	3	-2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	4	1	4	5	13
9	La Calamine	9	4	1	4	2	13
10	RUS Binche	9	3	3	3	-3	12
11	Stade Verviers	9	3	2	4	2	11
12	Acren-Lessines	9	3	2	4	2	11
13	Ostiches	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Richelle United	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	2	2	5	-6	8
17	Union Namur	9	1	2	6	-14	5
18	Aywaille	9	0	1	8	-17	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Onhaye win, at 53.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.