Rydets IP · Analysis updated 08:11 UTC
Onsala vs Landvetter IS Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.90 expected goals for Onsala and 1.53 for Landvetter IS, a combined total of 2.43. That distribution gives Landvetter IS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Landvetter IS win
51.9% probability
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Onsala home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Landvetter IS away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Landvetter IS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 22% / 26% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.90 goals for Onsala and 1.53 for Landvetter IS, a combined 2.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.8%
Recent form
Onsala
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Qviding FIF · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Astrio · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Galtabacks · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Västra Frölunda · 1-3 (L)
Landvetter IS
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Västra Frölunda · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Galtabacks · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonsered · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dalstorps · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Västra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landvetter IS | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Dalstorps | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Jonsered | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 42 |
| 4 | Hestrafor | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Västra Frölunda | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Qviding FIF | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Böljan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Lindome | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Torslanda | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Onsala | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Kongahälla | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Åstorp | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Galtabacks | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Astrio | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Landvetter IS win, at 51.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.