· Analysis updated 14:54 UTC
Opatija vs Austria Salzburg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Opatija and 2.45 for Austria Salzburg, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Austria Salzburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Austria Salzburg win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 2.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Opatija home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Salzburg away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Salzburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 28% / 19% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Opatija and 2.45 for Austria Salzburg, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
48%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.3%
- 1–16.3%
- 2–35.7%
Recent form
Opatija
- 2026-09-02T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Hrvace · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Karlovac 1919 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Jadran LP · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-22T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Karlovac 1919 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Salzburg · 1-1 (D)
Austria Salzburg
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Voitsberg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Sturm Graz II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SKN ST. Polten · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs SV Kapfenberg · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Salzburg win, at 52.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.