· Analysis updated 10:51 UTC
Opava II vs Břidličná Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Opava II and 1.65 for Břidličná, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Opava II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Opava II win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Opava II home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Břidličná away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Opava II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 20% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Opava II and 1.65 for Břidličná, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.5%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–26.2%
Recent form
Opava II
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hlučín · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Frýdlant · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Stonava · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Frydek-Mistek B · 2-3 (L)
Břidličná
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Valašské Meziříčí · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Frydek-Mistek B · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Rýmařov · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vratimov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šumperk · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 30 |
| 2 | Kravare | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 27 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Valašské Meziříčí | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Opava II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Zabreh | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Stonava | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Nový Jičín | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | -31 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Opava II win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.