Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 411:00
Opava U19DWWWW

1 – 3

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:40 UTC

Opava U19 vs Dukla Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Opava U19 and 1.64 for Dukla Praha U19, a combined total of 4.23. That distribution gives Opava U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Opava U19 win

58.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.64

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Opava U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dukla Praha U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Opava U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 18% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Opava U19 and 1.64 for Dukla Praha U19, a combined 4.23 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Opava U19 win58%
Draw18%
Dukla Praha U19 win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score74%

Correct score

  • 2–18.0%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 3–25.7%

Recent form

Opava U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 3-3 (D)

Dukla Praha U19

  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Opava U19 win, at 58.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.