Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1310:00
Opava U19LWWWD

10:00 UTC

Friday, 30 October 2026

· Analysis updated 19:29 UTC

Opava U19 vs Sigma Olomouc U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Opava U19 and 2.30 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined total of 4.45. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 2.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Opava U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sigma Olomouc U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 38% / 20% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.15 goals for Opava U19 and 2.30 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined 4.45 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Opava U19 win38%
Draw20%
Sigma Olomouc U19 win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score79%

Correct score

  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 2–16.2%
  • 1–15.8%
  • 2–35.5%

Recent form

Opava U19

  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Teplice U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Zlín U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T08:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 4-2 (W)

Sigma Olomouc U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.