Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1109:00
Opava U19LWWWD

4 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 23:38 UTC

Opava U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.32 expected goals for Opava U19 and 2.06 for Zbrojovka Brno U19, a combined total of 5.38. That distribution gives Opava U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Opava U19 win

62.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.32 – 2.06

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Opava U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zbrojovka Brno U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Opava U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 16% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.32 goals for Opava U19 and 2.06 for Zbrojovka Brno U19, a combined 5.38 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Opava U19 win62%
Draw16%
Zbrojovka Brno U19 win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals78%
Both teams to score83%

Correct score

  • 3–26.0%
  • 3–15.8%
  • 2–25.4%
  • 2–15.2%
  • 4–24.9%

Recent form

Opava U19

  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Teplice U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Zlín U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T08:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 4-2 (W)

Zbrojovka Brno U19

  • 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Zlín U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Opava U19 win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.