Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 608:30
Opava U19LWWWD

4 – 3

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Zlín U19LLDLW

· Analysis updated 23:52 UTC

Opava U19 vs Zlín U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for Opava U19 and 1.83 for Zlín U19, a combined total of 5.08. That distribution gives Opava U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 88% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Opava U19 win

65.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.25 – 1.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Opava U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zlín U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Opava U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 15% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.25 goals for Opava U19 and 1.83 for Zlín U19, a combined 5.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Opava U19 win66%
Draw15%
Zlín U19 win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals74%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 3–16.5%
  • 2–16.0%
  • 3–26.0%
  • 2–25.5%
  • 4–15.3%

Recent form

Opava U19

  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Teplice U19 · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Zlín U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T08:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 4-2 (W)

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Opava U19 win, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 88%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.