Simply Arena · Analysis updated 13:53 UTC
Opava vs Vysočina Jihlava Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Opava and 1.51 for Vysočina Jihlava, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Vysočina Jihlava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.6% probability
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.51
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Opava home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vysočina Jihlava away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vysočina Jihlava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 32% / 25% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.29 goals for Opava and 1.51 for Vysočina Jihlava, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Opava
- 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Třinec · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 0-3 (L)
Vysočina Jihlava
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Ústí nad Labem | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Vysočina Jihlava | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Příbram | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Slavia Praha II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Táborsko | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Vlašim | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Kladno | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Opava | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Viktoria Žižkov | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Třinec | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.