· Analysis updated 07:17 UTC
Operário PR U20 vs City London U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Operário PR U20 and 1.57 for City London U20, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Operário PR U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
City London U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Operário PR U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Operário PR U20 and 1.57 for City London U20, a combined 3.35 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 65% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.2%
Recent form
Operário PR U20
City London U20
- 2026-06-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Patriotas U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Patriotas U20 · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-05-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Operário PR U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Operário PR U20 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Operário PR U20 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paranaense U20 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coritiba U20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Athletico PR U20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Cascavel U20 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | City London U20 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Operário PR U20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Galo Maringá U20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Araucaria U20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Patriotas U20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Parana Clube U20 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | CE União U20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Hope Internacional U20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Cianorte U20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.