· Analysis updated 06:06 UTC
Optik Rathenow vs Anker Wismar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Optik Rathenow and 1.19 for Anker Wismar, a combined total of 2.47. That distribution gives Optik Rathenow the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Optik Rathenow home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Anker Wismar away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Optik Rathenow to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 27% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Optik Rathenow and 1.19 for Anker Wismar, a combined 2.47 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–110.1%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–18.2%
Recent form
Optik Rathenow
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Zehlendorf · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Klosterfelde · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Neustrelitz · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf · 0-1 (L)
Anker Wismar
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hansa Rostock II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mecklenburg Schwerin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tennis Borussia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Makkabi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Lok Stendal · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | BAK '07 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Siedenbollentin | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Lichtenberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Anker Wismar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Tennis Borussia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Hansa Rostock II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Optik Rathenow | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Union Klosterfelde | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Makkabi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Neustrelitz | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.