Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 316:00

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Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 03:58 UTC

Orduspor 1967 vs Beykoz İshaklıspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Orduspor 1967 and 0.80 for Beykoz İshaklıspor, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives Orduspor 1967 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Orduspor 1967 win

67.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Orduspor 1967 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Beykoz İshaklıspor away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Orduspor 1967 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 20% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.08 goals for Orduspor 1967 and 0.80 for Beykoz İshaklıspor, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Orduspor 1967 win67%
Draw20%
Beykoz İshaklıspor win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 2–012.2%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 3–08.4%

Recent form

Orduspor 1967

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Amasyaspor 1968 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kartal Bulvarspor · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fatsa Belediyespor · 0-3 (L)

Beykoz İshaklıspor

  • 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Galata · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Beykoz Anadolu · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Orduspor 1967 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Silivrispor · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Lig - Group 1 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Orduspor 1967 win, at 67.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.