· Analysis updated 22:35 UTC
Örebro SK W vs Husqvarna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Örebro SK W and 1.53 for Husqvarna W, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Örebro SK W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Örebro SK W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Husqvarna W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Örebro SK W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Örebro SK W and 1.53 for Husqvarna W, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Örebro SK W
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Häcken II W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Linköping W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 0-1 (L)
Husqvarna W
- 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Linköping W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · Örebro SK W 0-2 Husqvarna W (Elitettan)
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · Örebro SK W 1-0 Husqvarna W (Elitettan)
Elitettan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elfsborg W | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | KIF Örebro W | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 53 |
| 3 | Göteborg W | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 51 |
| 4 | Linköping W | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 43 |
| 5 | Umeå W | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 41 |
| 6 | Husqvarna W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Trelleborg W | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Jitex W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | Örebro SK W | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | Enskede W | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Alingsås W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -11 | 22 |
| 12 | Gamla Upsala W | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Sandviken W | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -37 | 14 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 23 | 2 | 2 | 19 | -28 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.