Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas · Referee L. Villarroel · Analysis updated 16:08 UTC
Oriente Petrolero vs Blooming Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.42 for Blooming, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives Oriente Petrolero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oriente Petrolero win
64.0% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oriente Petrolero home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Blooming away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 3–17.5%
- 1–16.3%
- 2–26.0%
- 2–05.9%
Recent form
Oriente Petrolero
- 2026-10-22T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Nacional Potosí · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-18T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Guabirá · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T23:30:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-08T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitario de Vinto · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Guabirá · 1-2 (L)
Blooming
- 2026-10-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Independiente Petrolero · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Bolívar · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Oriente Petrolero · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-17T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-30T23:30:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 3-0 Blooming (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2026-05-31T20:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 0-1 Blooming (Primera División)
- 2026-02-08T19:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 3-2 Blooming (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2026-02-01T19:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 0-2 Blooming (Torneo Amistoso de Verano)
- 2025-11-30T19:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 3-1 Blooming (Primera División)
- 2025-11-09T19:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 2-3 Blooming (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2025-08-31T21:15:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 1-4 Blooming (Copa de la División Profesional)
- 2025-06-22T21:15:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 1-2 Blooming (Primera División)
- 2025-03-23T21:30:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Blooming (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-12-08T23:30:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 0-0 Blooming (Primera División)
Copa de la División Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Petrolero | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Aurora | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosí | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | The Strongest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Guabirá | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Always Ready | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Real Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | ABB | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Blooming | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oriente Petrolero win, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.