Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas · Referee D. Rodriguez · Analysis updated 15:17 UTC
Oriente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Oriente Petrolero and 0.90 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Oriente Petrolero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oriente Petrolero win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oriente Petrolero home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–08.0%
Recent form
Oriente Petrolero
- 2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Blooming · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-17T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Tomayapo · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Guabirá · 1-0 (W)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
- 2026-10-24T21:15:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Universitario de Vinto · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T00:30:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 4-0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2026-04-04T23:30:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 0-2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2025-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 1-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2025-04-26T21:30:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 1-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2024-10-28T23:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 0-2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
- 2024-07-13T19:00:00.000Z · Oriente Petrolero 2-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División)
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 51 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 27 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -23 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oriente Petrolero win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.