Orijent 1919 vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Orijent 1919 and 1.27 for Dinamo Zagreb U21, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Orijent 1919 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Orijent 1919 home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Orijent 1919 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.33 goals for Orijent 1919 and 1.27 for Dinamo Zagreb U21, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Orijent 1919 win38%

Draw26%

Dinamo Zagreb U21 win36%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.5%
1–09.8%
0–19.4%
2–18.3%
1–28.0%

Recent form

Orijent 1919

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hrvace · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Opatija · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Jadran LP · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Ždralovi · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Croatia Zmijavci · 1-1 (D)

Dinamo Zagreb U21

2026-10-16T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlovac 1919 · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Segesta Sisak · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Ždralovi · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dugopolje · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

First NL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jadran LP	7	4	2	1	5	14
2	Croatia Zmijavci	7	4	1	2	5	13
3	HNK Cibalia	7	3	4	0	3	13
4	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	7	4	1	2	2	13
5	Segesta Sisak	7	3	2	2	1	11
6	Mladost Ždralovi	7	3	2	2	0	11
7	Sesvete	7	3	0	4	1	9
8	Dinamo Zagreb U21	7	3	0	4	0	9
9	Dugopolje	7	2	3	2	0	9
10	Dubrava Zagreb	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Karlovac 1919	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Orijent 1919	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Vukovar	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Opatija	7	2	1	4	-2	7
15	Hrvace	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Kustosija	7	1	3	3	-2	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.