· Analysis updated 14:50 UTC
Os vs Åsane II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.13 expected goals for Os and 1.58 for Åsane II, a combined total of 4.70. That distribution gives Os the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Os win
68.3% probability
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Os home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Åsane II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Os to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 15% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.13 goals for Os and 1.58 for Åsane II, a combined 4.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.3%
- 2–17.0%
- 3–25.7%
- 4–15.7%
- 2–25.5%
Recent form
Os
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Varegg · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-3 (L)
Åsane II
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vard · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Førde · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Os win, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.