Os vs Askøy Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.65 expected goals for Os and 1.88 for Askøy, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Os the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Os win

54.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Os home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Askøy away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Os win55%

Draw18%

Askøy win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals83%

Over 3.5 goals66%

Both teams to score79%

Correct score

2–17.1%
2–26.7%
3–16.3%
3–25.9%
1–15.4%

Recent form

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Varegg · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fana · 2-3 (L)

Askøy

2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fana · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Os · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Austevoll · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stord · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-06-13T12:00:00.000Z · Os 0-3 Askøy (3. Division - Girone 3)
2025-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · Os 0-1 Askøy (3. Division - Girone 4)
2025-04-17T12:00:00.000Z · Os 1-3 Askøy (3. Division - Girone 4)
2024-09-21T12:00:00.000Z · Os 5-0 Askøy (3. Division - Girone 1)
2024-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · Os 3-3 Askøy (3. Division - Girone 1)

3. Division - Girone 3 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Os	23	17	1	5	37	52
2	Djerv	23	15	5	3	29	50
3	Askøy	23	12	7	4	11	43
4	Vard	23	12	5	6	20	41
5	Fana	23	13	2	8	19	41
6	Brann II	23	10	6	7	11	36
7	Austevoll	23	10	6	7	-6	36
8	Førde	23	9	4	10	-8	31
9	Sogndal II	23	9	3	11	12	30
10	Stord	23	5	9	9	-17	24
11	Varegg	23	6	5	12	-9	23
12	Åsane II	23	4	7	12	-18	19
13	Gneist	23	5	3	15	-28	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	23	1	3	19	-53	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Os win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.