· Analysis updated 16:01 UTC
Os vs Djerv Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Os and 2.30 for Djerv, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Djerv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
60.5% probability
Expected goals
2.25 – 2.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Os home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Djerv away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Djerv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 39% / 19% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.25 goals for Os and 2.30 for Djerv, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.3%
- 2–16.2%
- 1–15.5%
- 2–35.4%
Recent form
Os
- 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Sogndal II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fyllingsdalen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Askøy · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Varegg · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Åsane II · 3-2 (W)
Djerv
- 2026-10-17T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Førde · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Gneist · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sogndal II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stord · 4-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 3 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.