· Analysis updated 10:28 UTC
Osasco Audax U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Osasco Audax U20 and 0.63 for Gremio Prudente U20, a combined total of 1.51. That distribution gives Osasco Audax U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 36%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
75.4% probability
Expected goals
0.88 – 0.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Osasco Audax U20 home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gremio Prudente U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Osasco Audax U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 36% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.88 goals for Osasco Audax U20 and 0.63 for Gremio Prudente U20, a combined 1.51 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
64%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–022.0%
- 1–019.4%
- 0–113.9%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–08.6%
Recent form
Osasco Audax U20
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Botafogo SP U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Botafogo SP U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs XV de Jaú U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Bragantino U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Gremio Prudente U20 · 2-2 (D)
Gremio Prudente U20
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Guarani U20 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Porto Football U20 · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sfera U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Osasco Audax U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Bragantino U20 · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 75.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 27% and over 2.5 goals at 19%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.