· Analysis updated 13:38 UTC
OSC Bremerhaven vs Woltmershausen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.13 expected goals for OSC Bremerhaven and 1.00 for Woltmershausen, a combined total of 5.13. That distribution gives OSC Bremerhaven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 7%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
OSC Bremerhaven win
88.3% probability
Expected goals
4.13 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
OSC Bremerhaven home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Woltmershausen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
93%
Double chance X2
12%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–07.2%
- 4–17.2%
- 3–07.0%
- 3–17.0%
- 5–05.9%
Recent form
OSC Bremerhaven
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Woltmershausen · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Bremen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberneuland · 12-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brinkumer SV · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Leher TS · 3-0 (W)
Woltmershausen
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OSC Bremerhaven · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aumund-Vegesack · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Eiche Horn · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemelingen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwachhausen · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 4-1 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2026-05-09T12:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 2-0 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2026-04-15T17:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 2-2 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2024-12-07T13:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 1-1 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2024-08-24T11:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 3-1 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2023-10-27T17:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 3-0 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2023-08-12T11:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 3-1 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2023-04-23T12:00:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 3-2 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
- 2022-11-12T13:30:00.000Z · OSC Bremerhaven 4-5 Woltmershausen (Oberliga - Bremen)
Oberliga - Bremen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hemelingen | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 25 |
| 2 | Blumenthaler SV | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 |
| 3 | Brinkumer SV | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 |
| 4 | OSC Bremerhaven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 19 |
| 5 | Aumund-Vegesack | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Vatan Sport | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Schwachhausen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Union Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Eiche Horn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 | Geestemünde | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | Grohn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | BTS Neustadt | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Leher TS | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen III | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 15 | Woltmershausen | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -23 | 4 |
| 16 | Oberneuland | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -30 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is OSC Bremerhaven win, at 88.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 88% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.