Osipovichy vs Gomel II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Osipovichy and 1.85 for Gomel II, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Gomel II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Osipovichy home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Gomel II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gomel II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 34% / 22% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for Osipovichy and 1.85 for Gomel II, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Osipovichy win34%

Draw22%

Gomel II win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

1–19.4%
1–28.7%
2–17.5%
2–26.9%
0–15.9%

Recent form

Osipovichy

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Orsha · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Volna · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Smorgon · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bumprom · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Minsk II · 1-1 (D)

Gomel II

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhter Soligorsk · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Orsha · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Volna · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Smorgon · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Slutsk	27	17	6	4	28	57
2	Niva	27	17	4	6	36	55
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	8	54
4	FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk	27	16	5	6	25	53
5	Slonim	27	14	5	8	17	47
6	Molodechno-DYuSSh 4	26	14	3	9	5	45
7	Bumprom	27	12	5	10	11	41
8	Shakhter Soligorsk	27	11	7	9	8	40
9	Dinamo Minsk II	25	10	5	10	5	35
10	Ostrovets FC	27	8	11	8	-2	35
11	Volna	27	10	4	13	-10	34
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	-3	33
13	Minsk II	27	9	3	15	-13	30
14	Orsha	27	7	6	14	-23	27
15	Uni Minsk	26	6	8	12	-10	26
16	BATE II	27	5	7	15	-25	22
17	Gomel II	27	5	6	16	-19	21
18	Osipovichy	27	5	4	18	-38	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.