· Analysis updated 02:21 UTC
Osnabrück U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Osnabrück U19 and 1.18 for FSV Frankfurt U19, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Osnabrück U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Osnabrück U19 win
47.7% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Osnabrück U19 home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FSV Frankfurt U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Osnabrück U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Osnabrück U19 and 1.18 for FSV Frankfurt U19, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–17.1%
Recent form
Osnabrück U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs RW Oberhausen U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Schalke 04 U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-16T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 · 1-1 (D)
FSV Frankfurt U19
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Osnabrück U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Osnabrück U19 win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.