· Analysis updated 00:06 UTC
Osterbro W vs Esbjerg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.83 expected goals for Osterbro W and 1.53 for Esbjerg W, a combined total of 4.35. That distribution gives Osterbro W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Osterbro W win
64.5% probability
Expected goals
2.83 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Esbjerg W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Osterbro W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 17% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.83 goals for Osterbro W and 1.53 for Esbjerg W, a combined 4.35 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
36%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.9%
- 3–17.4%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–25.6%
- 1–15.6%
Recent form
Osterbro W
Esbjerg W
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Osterbro W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs B 93 W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Thy ThistedQ W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Osterbro W · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Osterbro W win, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.