· Analysis updated 15:13 UTC
Oudenaarde vs Diksmuide Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Oudenaarde and 1.98 for Diksmuide, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Diksmuide the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Diksmuide win
50.9% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oudenaarde home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Diksmuide away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Diksmuide to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 27% / 22% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Oudenaarde and 1.98 for Diksmuide, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–16.8%
- 0–26.7%
- 2–16.6%
Recent form
Oudenaarde
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Voorde Appelterre · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Zulte Waregem II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mechelen II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oostkamp · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ninove · 3-3 (D)
Diksmuide
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs KRC Gent · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Lebbeke · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs HO Kalken · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Torhout · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kortrijk · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eendracht Aalst | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Diksmuide | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Oostkamp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Torhout | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Voorde Appelterre | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | VW Hamme | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | Mechelen II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Ninove | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Zulte Waregem II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Sparta Petegem | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | RFC Wetteren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Lebbeke | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Londerzeel | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Oudenaarde | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | KRC Gent | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | HO Kalken | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Diksmuide win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.