Northern-Ireland · Premier Intermediate League · Matchweek 2618:00

4 – 3

Friday, 1 May 2026

Knockramer Park · Analysis updated 15:11 UTC

Oxford Sunnyside vs Banbridge Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Oxford Sunnyside and 0.76 for Banbridge Town, a combined total of 5.26. That distribution gives Oxford Sunnyside the largest share of the 1X2 market at 93%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 93% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Oxford Sunnyside win

93.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

4.50 – 0.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oxford Sunnyside home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Banbridge Town away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oxford Sunnyside to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 93%, against 93% / 5% / 2% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.50 goals for Oxford Sunnyside and 0.76 for Banbridge Town, a combined 5.26 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oxford Sunnyside win93%
Draw5%
Banbridge Town win2%

Double chance 1X

98%

Double chance 12

95%

Double chance X2

7%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 4–08.9%
  • 5–08.0%
  • 3–07.9%
  • 4–16.7%
  • 5–16.1%

Recent form

Oxford Sunnyside

  • 2026-07-24T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Dungannon Swifts · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-21T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bangor · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Banbridge Town · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-04-21T17:45:35.000Z · A vs Knockbreda · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:06.000Z · A vs Portstewart · 1-1 (D)

Banbridge Town

  • 2026-05-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Oxford Sunnyside · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-21T17:45:53.000Z · H vs Moyola Park · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-04-18T14:00:55.000Z · H vs Dollingstown · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-04T14:00:12.000Z · H vs Strabane Athletic · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-03-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ballymacash Rangers · 1-8 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Intermediate League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Strabane Athletic2515371148
2Dollingstown2614481846
3Moyola Park2513483443
4Rathfriland2213273041
5Newry City AFC241257841
6Ballymacash Rangers24131101140
7Dergview231067536
8Ballyclare Comrades2611312-236
9Oxford Sunnyside2511212635
10Portstewart25979-134
11Knockbreda259610-633
12Coagh United267613-1927
13Lisburn Distillery257414-1625
14Banbridge Town231121-794

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Oxford Sunnyside win, at 93.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.

A 93% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.