· Analysis updated 15:31 UTC
Oxford Sunnyside vs Bangor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Oxford Sunnyside and 1.45 for Bangor, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Oxford Sunnyside the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oxford Sunnyside win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oxford Sunnyside home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bangor away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oxford Sunnyside to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Oxford Sunnyside and 1.45 for Bangor, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Oxford Sunnyside
- 2026-07-24T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Dungannon Swifts · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-21T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bangor · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Banbridge Town · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-04-21T17:45:35.000Z · A vs Knockbreda · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:06.000Z · A vs Portstewart · 1-1 (D)
Bangor
- 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Larne · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Dungannon Swifts · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dungannon Swifts · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Linfield · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Coleraine FC · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oxford Sunnyside win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.