Romania · Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 614:00

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Friday, 25 September 2026

Voluntari IIDWLWL

· Analysis updated 02:38 UTC

Oxigen Bucuresti vs Voluntari II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Oxigen Bucuresti and 1.27 for Voluntari II, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Oxigen Bucuresti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oxigen Bucuresti home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Voluntari II away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oxigen Bucuresti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 25% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Oxigen Bucuresti and 1.27 for Voluntari II, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oxigen Bucuresti win43%
Draw25%
Voluntari II win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.5%

Recent form

Oxigen Bucuresti

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LPS HD Clinceni · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetatea · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Voluntari II · 1-2 (L)

Voluntari II

  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Bucureşti II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja · 3-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga III - Serie 5 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.