· Analysis updated 21:41 UTC
Oyem AC vs Bouenguidi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Oyem AC and 1.00 for Bouenguidi, a combined total of 2.53. That distribution gives Oyem AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Oyem AC win
49.4% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oyem AC home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bouenguidi away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oyem AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 26% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Oyem AC and 1.00 for Bouenguidi, a combined 2.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.2%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–09.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.0%
Recent form
Oyem AC
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lozo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-1 (W)
Bouenguidi
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cercle Mbéri · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Oyem AC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 105 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · Oyem AC 2-0 Bouenguidi (Championnat D1)
- 2026-04-28T14:30:00.000Z · Oyem AC 2-0 Bouenguidi (Championnat D1)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Oyem AC win, at 49.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.