Gabon · Championnat D1 · Matchweek 1814:30

0 – 2

Sunday, 31 May 2026

· Analysis updated 19:30 UTC

Oyem AC vs FC 105 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Oyem AC and 1.25 for FC 105, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Oyem AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oyem AC home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC 105 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oyem AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 27% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Oyem AC and 1.25 for FC 105, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oyem AC win39%
Draw27%
FC 105 win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–27.9%

Recent form

Oyem AC

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lozo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-1 (W)

FC 105

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lozo · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ogooue FC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Championnat D1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mounana000000
2Mangasport000000
3Lozo000000
4Pélican000000
5Ogooue FC000000
6Oyem AC000000
7Stade Mandji000000
8Cercle Mbéri000000
9Stade Migoveen000000
10FC 105000000
11US Oyem000000
12Bitam000000
13Missile000000
14Vautour Club000000

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.