Gabon · Championnat D1 · Matchweek 2513:00

1 – 0

Tuesday, 30 June 2026

Lozo

· Analysis updated 01:36 UTC

Oyem AC vs Lozo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Oyem AC and 0.83 for Lozo, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Oyem AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Oyem AC win

49.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.35 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oyem AC home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lozo away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oyem AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 28% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.35 goals for Oyem AC and 0.83 for Lozo, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Oyem AC win49%
Draw28%
Lozo win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–015.3%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–010.4%
  • 0–19.4%

Recent form

Oyem AC

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lozo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-1 (W)

Lozo

  • 2026-07-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cercle Mbéri · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Oyem AC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 105 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mangasport · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Migoveen · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Oyem AC win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.