Aijansuon stadion · Analysis updated 11:34 UTC
P-Iirot vs GrIFK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for P-Iirot and 1.08 for GrIFK, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives P-Iirot the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
P-Iirot win
63.4% probability
Expected goals
2.23 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
P-Iirot home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
GrIFK away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–18.8%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–17.3%
Recent form
P-Iirot
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EPS · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ilves II · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs ÅIFK · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-28T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 1-1 (D)
GrIFK
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · P-Iirot 2-0 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2026-05-29T15:30:00.000Z · P-Iirot 1-1 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2023-08-13T15:00:00.000Z · P-Iirot 1-3 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2023-05-22T16:00:00.000Z · P-Iirot 1-2 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2020-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · P-Iirot 0-3 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2019-08-03T14:00:00.000Z · P-Iirot 0-0 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2019-05-26T15:30:00.000Z · P-Iirot 1-1 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko B)
- 2015-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · P-Iirot 1-3 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko C)
- 2015-08-06T15:30:00.000Z · P-Iirot 0-2 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko C)
- 2015-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · P-Iirot 1-3 GrIFK (Kakkonen - Lohko C)
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is P-Iirot win, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.