· Analysis updated 23:43 UTC
P-Iirot vs Ilves II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for P-Iirot and 1.95 for Ilves II, a combined total of 3.71. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Ilves II or Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.3%
Why the model likes this
P-Iirot home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for P-Iirot and 1.95 for Ilves II, a combined 3.71 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
P-Iirot
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Ilves II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.