Portugal · Júniores U19 · Matchweek 215:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 31 January 2026

· Analysis updated 18:26 UTC

Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Pacos Ferreira U19 vs Chaves U19 in the Júniores U19: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Chaves U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pacos Ferreira U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Pacos Ferreira U19 and 1.18 for Chaves U19, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Pacos Ferreira U19 or Chaves U19 yet, so these numbers are a Júniores U19 scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Pacos Ferreira U19 win44%
Draw26%
Chaves U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Pacos Ferreira U19

    Chaves U19

    • 2026-04-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Moreirense U19 · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-04-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Braga U19 · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-04-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19 · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-03-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pacos Ferreira U19 · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-03-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vizela U19 · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Júniores U19 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes U1910613319
    1Benfica U1995311318
    2Porto U1996121219
    2Sporting CP U199531418
    3Gil Vicente U199423-114
    3Santa Clara U199432815
    4Rio Ave U199423114
    4Torreense U199423214
    5Academico Viseu U199414513
    5Oriental U199333012
    6Sporting Braga U199324-111
    6Casa Pia U199333112
    7Feirense U199324-211
    7Mafra U199333-412
    8Famalicão U1910244-410
    8SC Farense U199225-68
    9Moreirense U199234-39
    9União Leiria U199135-116
    10Vizela U199225-108
    10Alverca U199135-76

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.