Palestine vs Kuwait Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Palestine and 1.12 for Kuwait, a combined total of 3.12. That distribution gives Palestine the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Palestine win

57.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Kuwait away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Palestine to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Palestine and 1.12 for Kuwait, a combined 3.12 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Palestine win58%

Draw21%

Kuwait win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–19.9%
1–19.9%
2–08.9%
1–08.8%
3–16.6%

Recent form

Palestine

2026-10-02T11:35:00.000Z · A vs China · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Konyaspor · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tajikistan · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-24T09:30:00.000Z · H vs New Zealand · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Kyrgyzstan · 0-0 (D)

Kuwait

2026-09-29T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oman · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-26T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Iraq · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Saudi Arabia · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Thailand · 2-2 (D)
2025-12-09T14:30:00.000Z · A vs United Arab Emirates · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Asian Cup table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kuwait	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Oman	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Palestine	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bahrain	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Uzbekistan	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	North Korea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Jordan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Syria	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Iran	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Singapore	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Tajikistan	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Australia	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Iraq	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Yemen	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Vietnam	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	South Korea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	United Arab Emirates	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Thailand	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Japan	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Qatar	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Indonesia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Palestine	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	North Korea	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Australia	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	South Korea	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Qatar	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Palestine win, at 57.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.