· Analysis updated 15:38 UTC
Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Pamba Jiji and 2.07 for Singida Black Stars, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Singida Black Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Singida Black Stars win
51.4% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 2.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pamba Jiji home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Singida Black Stars away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Singida Black Stars to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 27% / 21% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Pamba Jiji and 2.07 for Singida Black Stars, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–16.5%
- 1–36.3%
Recent form
Pamba Jiji
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tabora United · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JKT Tanzania · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Africans · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Simba · 1-2 (L)
Singida Black Stars
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ghazal · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mashujaa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Al-Ghazal · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-09-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Namungo · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Polisi Tanzania · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligi kuu Bara table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Tabora United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Singida Black Stars win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.