· Analysis updated 04:28 UTC
Panachaiki FC vs Lefkimmi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.33 expected goals for Panachaiki FC and 0.85 for Lefkimmi, a combined total of 4.18. That distribution gives Panachaiki FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Panachaiki FC win
83.8% probability
Expected goals
3.33 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Panachaiki FC home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Panachaiki FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 10% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.33 goals for Panachaiki FC and 0.85 for Lefkimmi, a combined 4.18 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 55%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–09.4%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–18.0%
- 4–07.8%
- 2–17.2%
Recent form
Panachaiki FC
- 2026-10-18T11:45:00.000Z · A vs Levante · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Pallixouriakos · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panagriniakos · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panegialios · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthouriakos · 4-1 (W)
Lefkimmi
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panegialios | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Preveza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Panachaiki FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Atromitos Patras | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Pallixouriakos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Plataria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Aris Filiates | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Tilikratis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Agios Matthaios | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | Panagriniakos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 4 |
| 11 | Lefkimmi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 12 | Levante | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -16 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Panachaiki FC win, at 83.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.