· Analysis updated 02:57 UTC
Panargiakos vs Kissamikos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Panargiakos and 1.03 for Kissamikos, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Panargiakos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.3% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Panargiakos home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kissamikos away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.3%
- 1–013.0%
- 0–111.4%
- 0–011.1%
- 2–17.8%
Recent form
Panargiakos
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellas Syros · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Egaleo · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kallithea · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-03-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kissamikos · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilioupoli · 1-1 (D)
Kissamikos
- 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kallithea · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilioupoli · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-04-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Egaleo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Panargiakos · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ellas Syros · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-29T12:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 0-2 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2026-02-21T13:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 0-1 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2025-12-14T13:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 0-2 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2025-10-12T11:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 0-0 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2025-04-13T12:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 1-0 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2025-03-08T11:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 0-2 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2024-12-15T13:15:00.000Z · Panargiakos 2-2 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
- 2024-10-13T12:00:00.000Z · Panargiakos 2-1 Kissamikos (Super League 2)
Super League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Kallithea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Panserraikos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Panionios | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Larisa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Niki Volos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Ellas Syros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Panthrakikos | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Apollon Pontou | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | PAOK II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.