Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Panathinaikos and 2.05 for Borac Banja Luka, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Borac Banja Luka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Borac Banja Luka win

45.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.73 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Panathinaikos home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Borac Banja Luka away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borac Banja Luka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 33% / 21% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Panathinaikos and 2.05 for Borac Banja Luka, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Panathinaikos win33%

Draw21%

Borac Banja Luka win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–28.3%
1–18.1%
2–27.2%
2–17.0%
1–35.7%

Recent form

Panathinaikos

2026-10-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Kalamata · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-16T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Kifisia · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Panetolikos · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-10T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Kifisia · 3-1 (W)

Borac Banja Luka

2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · H vs BSK Banja Luka · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Vojvodina · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Bijeljina · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Siroki Brijeg · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sloga Doboj · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2024-10-03T19:00:00.000Z · Panathinaikos 1-1 Borac Banja Luka (UEFA Europa Conference League)

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Borac Banja Luka win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.