Panathinaikos vs Paks Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Panathinaikos and 1.00 for Paks, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Panathinaikos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Panathinaikos win

60.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Panathinaikos win61%

Draw21%

Paks win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–010.0%
1–110.0%
2–010.0%
2–110.0%
3–06.6%

Why the model likes this

Paks away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Panathinaikos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.00 for Paks, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Panathinaikos

Paks

2026-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Puskas Academy · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-09T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-03T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 2-5 (L)
2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Panathinaikos · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ferencvarosi TC · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.