France · National 3 - Group B · Group B - 2616:00
PanazolWLWLW

3 – 2

Saturday, 16 May 2026

Stade de Morpiènas · Analysis updated 00:33 UTC

Panazol vs Angers SCO II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Panazol and 1.00 for Angers SCO II, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Panazol the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Panazol win

48.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Panazol home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Angers SCO II away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Panazol to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 26% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Panazol and 1.00 for Angers SCO II, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Panazol win49%
Draw26%
Angers SCO II win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–012.3%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.2%

Recent form

Panazol

  • 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Angers SCO II · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vendée Fontenay · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Châtellerault · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St-Philbert Gd Lieu · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Les Sables · 4-1 (W)

Angers SCO II

  • 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Panazol · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs La Châtaigneraie · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Le Poiré sur Vie · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs UF Touraine · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Châteauroux II · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · Panazol 3-2 Angers SCO II (National 3 - Group B)
  • 2025-08-23T16:00:00.000Z · Panazol 2-0 Angers SCO II (National 3 - Group B)
  • 2025-04-26T16:00:00.000Z · Panazol 0-1 Angers SCO II (National 3 - Group B)
  • 2025-01-12T13:30:00.000Z · Panazol 0-1 Angers SCO II (National 3 - Group B)

National 3 - Group B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Le Poiré sur Vie2617632157
2UF Touraine2617543156
3Nantes II2615651751
4Challans26121042646
5La Châtaigneraie261097-339
6Vendée Fontenay269512-832
7Les Sables269512-132
8Panazol2611312132
9Châteauroux II269413-331
10St-Philbert Gd Lieu268612-1230
11USSA Vertou267712-628
12Chauvigny2641210-1224
13Angers SCO II264814-1420
14Châtellerault264616-3718

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Panazol win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.